Tracking the Tropics
Tracking the Tropics

Two tropical disturbances in the Gulf of Mexico: Here’s what to know

Tropical weather outlook Gulf of Mexico
June 12, 2024

BATON ROUGE — The National Hurricane Center is tracking two broad areas of low pressure for possible tropical development over the next week.

Both disturbances have very low chances of development, but they will keep the Gulf disturbed into next week. Tropical moisture will bring rain into Louisiana, however, the threat of a tropical storm impacting the state remains low at this time.

Disturbance One: Invest 90

An elongated area of low pressure over the Florida peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive, some slow development is possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast tonight through late week.

Formation through 48 hours: 10%
Formation through 7 days: 20%

Disturbance Two: Bay of Campeche

A broad area of low pressure could form over the weekend across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development early next week while the
system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.

Formation through 48 hours: 0%
Formation through 7 days: 20%

The southern Gulf of Mexico is where we typically see tropical formation in June.

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